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Quality buying, the rise of curation, AI-powered brand safety and the growth of programmatic out-of-home are set to define programmatic advertising over the next year

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The Future of Programmatic 2025: new research by WARC explores major trends in programmatic advertising

10 July 2025 – WARC’s The Future of Programmatic 2025 report, released today, highlights emerging trends in programmatic.

Based on insights from both WARC and external research, it provides an overview of the programmatic marketplace, a deep-dive into three specific trends – the rise of sell-side curation, AI-powered brand safety, and the growth of programmatic out-of-home advertising – and includes practical guidance for marketers evolving their programmatic and ad tech capabilities.

Paul Stringer, Managing Editor, Research and Insights, WARC, says: “The past few years have been challenging for open web programmatic advertising due to issues over transparency, targeting and measurement. There is a growing sense that it must reinvent itself or risk losing even more ground.

“Fortunately, programmatic advertising is showing promising signs of progress as advertisers put more emphasis on quality inventory, embrace privacy-friendly approaches and cookie-less channels like CTV, retail media and DOOH, and adopt advanced AI tools that enhance brand safety measurement — signaling a potential renaissance for open web programmatic advertising.”

Key trends outlined in WARC’s Future of Programmatic 2025 report are:

Marketplace overview: The shift to quality

Spending on the programmatic open internet has stagnated, with almost all of the growth accrued by the major walled garden platforms.

To cope with signal loss, advertisers are responding by adopting a range of cookie-free strategies, with first-party data and contextual advertising proving particularly popular. Research by Comscore shows nearly half (48%) of marketers expect to primarily rely on cookie-free targeting tactics by the end of 2025.

Following years of inaction, advertisers are now looking for more transparency and control over programmatic buying, and putting more emphasis on quality and brand-safe inventory. Spend efficiency on programmatic campaigns has increased 14% since 2023, according to the ANA’s Q1 2025 transparency benchmark report.

Phil Acton, UK Country Manager, Adform, commented: “Walled gardens have built their empires on scale, not transparency or quality. The open web’s strength lies in accountability and collaboration, delivering better results for advertisers, more revenue for publishers, and richer experiences for consumers.”

According to research by the IAB, key programmatic growth areas this year include retail media, CTV and DOOH. WARC forecasts indicate both CTV and retail media will lead ad spend growth to 2026, ahead of channels including social media, online audio and search.

The rise of sell-side curation

Programmatic curation (the process of packaging advertising inventory based on criteria like audience interests, behaviours and contextual relevance) is moving to mainstream adoption and could eventually become the primary means of transacting on open web inventory.

According to a 2024 study by Exchangewire, 41% of marketers across Europe see curated deals as an opportunity to drive higher ROI; and programmatic consultancy, Jounce Media, reports that multi-publisher curated deals now represent nearly three-quarters of all bid requests in programmatic advertising. The open auction, meanwhile, is in structural decline.

Joe Root, CEO and co-founder, Permutive, said: “Curation effectively harnesses first party data from publishers alongside all addressable audience signals. When advertisers operate this way, you see huge uplifts in reach, and more importantly, significant improvements in outcomes.”

However, curated deals can mean higher costs for both advertisers and publishers. Advertisers do not always get clear visibility into where their ads run, what data was used, and who the supply partners were, while publishers also lack insight into how their inventory is being packaged and where it is being sold.

Brand safety’s AI-powered evolution

Marketers increasingly see brand safety as a top priority, according to IAB Europe, and evidence from the ANA’s 2025 Programmatic Benchmark shows advertisers are buying more quality, brand-safe inventory. Along with these behavioural shifts, brand safety tools are evolving.

New AI-powered tools are capable of analysing content and context with far more precision and granularity than traditional tools, like keyword and category blocking, which have failed to protect brands from showing up in unsafe environments while unfairly penalising publishers.

There is hope these new tools will help shift brand safety strategies from being reactive to proactive, while increasing trust, accountability and transparency across the entire programmatic ecosystem.

Laura Quigley, Senior Vice President APAC Sales, Integral Ad Science, comments: “AI is revolutionising digital advertising by enhancing brand safety and performance. Innovative AI technologies can analyse vast datasets to identify harmful content and predict trends, allowing marketers to strategically place ads that align with their brand image and risk tolerance.”

The growth of programmatic out-of-home

Programmatic digital out-of-home (prDOOH) represents an evolution in outdoor advertising, combining out-of-home (OOH) media’s traditional reach capabilities with the precision and addressability of programmatic buying.

While OOH ad spend has remained largely static since 2013, global digital out-of-home (DOOH) spend is growing at a healthy pace – up 15.0% in 2024 and forecast to rise 14.9% this year, reaching $17.6bn, per WARC Media.

Half of all digital out-of-home (DOOH) campaigns are now purchased either fully or partly programmatically, which offers more flexibility and precision than traditional OOH, allowing brands to target audiences with more relevant and timely ads. Research consistently shows that outdoor is more effective when combined with other channels.

The ability to adjust creative in real-time, is a major benefit of prDOOH. Adoption of dynamic creative optimisation (DCO) is on the rise. This enables brands to adjust creative based on data triggers, such as time of the day, footfall, weather, and even product availability – to deliver more relevant and effective advertising. But scale remains an issue given the finite amount of prDOOH inventory available.

Helen Miall, Chief Marketing Officer, VIOOH, says: “prDOOH’s lower barriers to entry and data-driven capabilities are enabling advertisers to increasingly use real-time messaging within dynamic creatives. This ensures highly contextual and relevant campaigns, confirming the 37% more attention that OOH delivers to digital ads within multi-channel campaigns.”

WARC subscribers can read The Future of Programmatic 2025 in full. A WARC podcast on the report will be available later in the month.

The report is part of WARC Strategy’s Evolution of Marketing, a content programme of in-depth forward-looking reports focusing on the future of the marketing discipline by drawing on the latest evidence, emerging trends, technologies, media, social influences and other drivers of change.

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SBM Offshore Confirmed as Silver Sponsor for African Energy Week (AEW) 2026 Amid Africa FPSO Expansion Push

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SBM Offshore will participate as Silver Sponsor at African Energy Week 2026, where they are set to showcase FPSO expansion in Angola, Namibia and Guyana amid strong financials and a deepwater innovation strategy

CAPE TOWN, South Africa, June 9, 2026/APO Group/ –Multinational oil and gas services company SBM Offshore will participate at this year’s African Energy Week (AEW) 2026 Conference and Exhibition as a Silver Sponsor, reinforcing the company’s long-term commitment to Africa’s expanding deepwater oil and gas industry. Their participation comes as SBM Offshore accelerates brownfield optimization projects in Angola while aggressively positioning itself for new frontier developments in Namibia’s Orange Basin.

 

SBM Offshore’s return to AEW, which takes place from October 12–16 in Cape Town, is expected to draw significant industry attention as operators, financiers and EPC contractors evaluate the next wave of floating production infrastructure across the Atlantic Basin. With more than 20 years of experience in Africa and over $31 billion in contract backlog globally, the company remains one of the world’s most influential FPSO suppliers.

The Sponsorship follows several major milestones announced during 2025 and 2026. On May 26, the American Bureau of Shipping approved SBM Offshore’s seawater intake riser technology developed alongside Shell. The system pumps cold seawater from depths of 700m to FPSO topsides, reducing onboard cooling energy demand and improving emissions performance for future African and South American projects.

The company’s financial position strengthened considerably following the $2.32 billion sale of FPSO One Guyana to ExxonMobil in February 2026. The transaction helped drive a 216% year-on-year increase in Q1 2026 directional revenue to $3.5 billion while reducing SBM Offshore’s net debt from $5.7 billion to $3.2 billion by March 21, 2026.

SBM Offshore continues to demonstrate the technical expertise, operational scale and long-term investment approach needed to advance Africa’s next generation of energy projects

In March 2026, ExxonMobil awarded SBM Offshore front-end engineering and design contracts for the Longtail development in Guyana. The proposed FPSO is expected to feature the world’s highest gas-handling capacity ever deployed on a floating production vessel, processing 1.2 billion cubic feet of gas and 250,000 barrels of condensate daily.

Across Africa, SBM Offshore continues expanding its offshore footprint. In Angola, the company signed multi-year extensions in December 2025 with Esso Exploration Angola for FPSO Mondo and FPSO Saxi Batuque in Block 15, extending operations through 2032. Brownfield upgrades and life-extension works commenced in early 2026 to support declining reservoir pressure management and maintain environmental compliance standards.

The company also finalized a share purchase agreement with Equatorial Guinea’s national oil company GEPetrol in December 2025, restructuring regional asset ownership and supporting localized operational transitions. The FPSO Aseng formally exited SBM Offshore’s lease-and-operate fleet during the same period as management responsibilities shifted toward Equatoguinean entities.

Namibia retains a central focus of SBM Offshore’s African growth strategy. The company is actively competing for TotalEnergies’ Venus FPSO contract in the Orange Basin, one of Africa’s largest recent offshore discoveries with estimated resources of roughly 2 billion barrels. SBM Offshore has expanded its Cape Town commercial engineering workforce while positioning its standardized technologies for upcoming South Atlantic developments.

“SBM Offshore’s participation at this year’s event reflects the growing momentum behind Africa’s deepwater industry and the critical role FPSO technology will play in unlocking new production. From Angola’s mature offshore hubs to Namibia’s frontier discoveries, SBM Offshore continues to demonstrate the technical expertise, operational scale and long-term investment approach needed to advance Africa’s next generation of energy projects,” says NJ Ayuk, Executive Chairman, African Energy Chamber.

Looking ahead, SBM Offshore aims to combine frontier expansion with lower-emission offshore production systems. Through partnerships with SLB and Cognite, the company is integrating industrial AI platforms to its global fleet while scaling standardized hull construction to accelerate project delivery timelines across Africa and Latin America.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Energy Chamber.

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Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa Joins African Energy Week (AEW) 2026 as South Africa Opens R400B Grid Expansion to Private Investment

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Kgosientsho Ramokgopa

South Africa has moved from rolling blackouts to a year of stable supply, and Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa now turns to the grid expansion and market reforms needed to keep the lights on and draw private capital

CAPE TOWN, South Africa, June 9, 2026/APO Group/ –Kgosientsho Ramokgopa, Minister of Electricity and Energy of the Republic of South Africa, has been confirmed as a featured speaker at African Energy Week (AEW) 2026, where he is expected to outline the next phase of the country’s power-sector recovery and the investment drive needed to expand the electricity grid.

 

Taking place October 12-16, AEW 2026 represents the largest energy gathering on the African continent, offering a strategic platform for dealmaking and partnerships. Minister Ramokgopa’s participation reflects the country’s ambitions to strengthen investment flows across the power and energy markets, supporting long-term generation resilience and improved transmission networks.

South Africa has moved from one of the worst phases of its electricity crisis to its most stable supply in years. The country recently passed a full year without load-shedding, and the grid is at its strongest in half a decade, with roughly 4,400 MW more generation on hand than a year earlier. The return of Kusile Power Station to its full output of about 4,800 MW helped anchor the turnaround.

South Africa’s recovery shows what disciplined execution can achieve, and opening the grid to private capital is the logical next step

With supply stabilized, Ramokgopa has reframed the current market challenge as being less about generation and more to do with transmission, offtakers and bottlenecks, pointing to more than 130 GW of generation projects that have yet to secure firm offtake agreements. That bottleneck sits at the center of the country’s largest infrastructure push. The Transmission Development Plan calls for 14,000 km of new power lines and 105 substations by 2030, at a cost of roughly R400 billion, to unlock an additional 22.5 GW of capacity.

Because neither Eskom nor the state can fund that build alone, the government has opened transmission to private investment for the first time through the Independent Transmission Projects (ITP) program. In December 2025, Ramokgopa named seven prequalified bidders for the first phase, all of them international-led consortia. The phase covers 1,164 km of high-voltage lines across seven corridors, with a combined value of about $1 billion. A request for proposals is expected in the second half of 2026.

“South Africa’s recovery shows what disciplined execution can achieve, and opening the grid to private capital is the logical next step,” says NJ Ayuk, Executive Chairman of the African Energy Chamber. “The real opportunity now is in transmission, and the investors who help build that network will open up generation that will change South Africa’s future for the better.”

Private appetite is already evident on the generation side. The latest round of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Program drew 10.2 GW of bids against the 5 GW on offer. In the 2025/26 financial year, eight new independent power projects came online with a combined 800 MW, and another 1,610 MW is under construction.

Minister Ramokgopa is also expected to address the Integrated Resource Plan 2025, the government’s blueprint guiding new generation capacity, and the rollout of a competitive wholesale electricity market intended to open the sector beyond Eskom.

As AEW 2026 prepares to convene policymakers, investors and operators at the Cape Town International Convention Center this October, Minister Ramokgopa’s participation is the host nation’s signal that its power sector is open for investment.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Energy Chamber.

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Carbon Markets Africa Summit (CMAS) 2026 programme launched as Africa’s carbon markets move from readiness to delivery

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Positioned as a pan-African marketplace, CMAS connects policy, project pipelines, capital and buyers in a structured environment focused on enabling real deal flow

CAPE TOWN, South Africa, June 9, 2026/APO Group/ –Africa is emerging as an exciting destination to develop carbon market projects with improved policy certainty and more and more projects becoming investment-ready. As global carbon markets transition from rule-setting to real transactions, with Article 6 mechanisms moving into implementation and compliance-driven demand such as CORSIA accelerating, attention is shifting towards where credible supply, policy certainty and investment-ready projects can be delivered at scale.

 

Against this backdrop, the Carbon Markets Africa Summit (CMAS) that is organised by VUKA Group has released its official 2026 programme, outlining how Africa’s carbon markets can move beyond frameworks into execution, investment and transactions. The summit will take place from 13–15 October 2026 in Kigali, Rwanda, hosted by the Ministry of Environment of Rwanda, with UNDP and the African Development Bank (AfDB) as host organisations, the Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA) as host partner, and AUDA-NEPAD as the strategic institutional partner.

Positioned as a pan-African marketplace, CMAS connects policy, project pipelines, capital and buyers in a structured environment focused on enabling real deal flow.

This year’s programme reflects a changing market dynamic, one where integrity, quality and transaction readiness are becoming decisive.

Carbon markets are entering a more selective and operational phase. The question is no longer whether Africa has a role to play, but whether the continent can bring forward credible projects, enabling frameworks and market infrastructure to transact at scale,” said Emmanuelle Nicholls, Project Lead. “CMAS 2026 is designed as a response to that moment – connecting the actors, pipelines and capital needed to move from ambition to execution.”

Africa’s carbon markets must be built on integrity, equity, and continental coordination so that carbon finance delivers real value

Within this evolving context, the summit places strong emphasis on the foundations required to scale markets responsibly. As Estherine Fotabong, Director at AUDA-NEPAD, notes, “Africa’s carbon markets must be built on integrity, equity, and continental coordination so that carbon finance delivers real value for communities, ecosystems, and sustainable development across the continent.”

A programme built for execution

The CMAS 2026 programme spans the full carbon market value chain from policy and Article 6 implementation to project development, finance and transactions. Key highlights include the keynote opening session on delivering projects, capital and transactions at scale, a high-level dialogue on trust and market readiness, ministerial and technical roundtables, and sessions focused on buyer demand, investor priorities and deal structuring.

 

A central feature is a curated pipeline of African carbon projects across nature-based solutions, regenerative agriculture, carbon removals, waste-to-value and blue carbon, presented through project showcases, case studies and investment-ready deal rooms.

The programme also includes solution labs and technical workshops addressing critical bottlenecks—including Article 6 and CORSIA implementation, early-stage finance, MRV systems and project bankability, alongside live demonstrations of digital carbon infrastructure, ensuring focus on practical market development and delivery.

CMAS 2026 is hosted in Rwanda, a country advancing carbon market frameworks under Article 6, and takes place at a pivotal moment as global markets increasingly prioritise integrity, quality and real delivery at scale.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of VUKA Group.

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