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Africa’s Crude Export Landscape is Shifting – What It Means for the Continent and the Industry

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African Energy Chamber

As Africa evolves from a traditional crude exporter into a rising energy consumer and industrial powerhouse, the OPEC World Oil Outlook 2025 underscores a continent on the rise – setting the stage for high-level dialogue and investment at African Energy Week 2025

CAPE TOWN, South Africa, July 17, 2025/APO Group/ –Africa is repositioning itself in the global oil market – not merely as a supplier to international markets, but as a rising energy consumer and industrial growth hub. The newly released OPEC World Oil Outlook 2025 underscores a continent in transition, leveraging its natural resources to meet domestic demand, expand refining capacity and strengthen regional energy security. These shifts signal a maturing energy profile, one that will be at the forefront of discussions during African Energy Week 2025 (AEW): Invest in African Energies, where policymakers, investors and industry leaders will shape the future of African energy on African terms.

 

Crude Exports Plateau Before Gradual Decline

OPEC projects that Africa’s total crude and condensate exports will remain stable at around 5.2 million barrels per day (bpd) through 2035, thanks to modest increases in production. However, this steady supply will increasingly be used at home. By 2050, exports are expected to decline to 4.2 million bpd – not due to market loss, but as a result of rising domestic demand and strategic value addition on the continent.

One of the most significant insights from the report is the continent’s growing internal energy appetite. Domestic crude use is expected to rise from 1.8 million bpd in 2024 to 4.5 million bpd by 2050, nearly tripling over the outlook period. This growth is tied to Africa’s demographic boom, industrial expansion and a concerted push to enhance local refining and downstream infrastructure. As African governments invest in capacity to process more of their own crude and produce their own fuels, the continent is taking steps toward energy independence and job creation across the value chain.

AEW 2025 will be a critical moment to chart that course, ensuring that Africa’s oil and gas resources are harnessed not only for global supply but for African prosperity

Europe and Asia: Changing Trade Patterns

Meanwhile, global trade patterns are shifting in ways that present new opportunities for African producers. Exports to Europe are expected to increase to a peak of 3 million bpd in 2030, before gradually tapering to 2.3 million bpd by 2050, in line with Europe’s broader energy transition and shrinking reliance on imported oil. The Asia-Pacific region is emerging as a more prominent long-term partner, with African crude exports remaining stable at 1.9 million bpd through 2030, then rising modestly to 2.2 million bpd by 2040 before easing to 1.8 million bpd by 2050.

Trade with the U.S. and Canada, which stood at 400,000 bpd in 2024, is expected to fall to 100,000 bpd by 2045, as competition from Latin America intensifies. Yet rather than signaling decline, this trend underscores the importance of market diversification and deeper regional cooperation – a direction many African producers are already pursuing through integrated trade corridors, cross-border pipelines and African Continental Free Trade Area initiatives.

What This Means for Africa’s Energy Strategy — and AEW

These evolving dynamics will be a core focus at AEW 2025: Invest in African Energies, the continent’s premier platform for energy dialogue, investment and policy alignment. AEW will provide a stage for African countries to present their long-term energy strategies and forge partnerships aimed at building capacity, securing financing and scaling infrastructure. Rather than reacting to global shifts, Africa is asserting its own agenda centered on energy access, industrialization and sustainable growth.

A dedicated OPEC roundtable at AEW will also explore the implications of the World Oil Outlook 2025 in greater depth. This forum will offer African producers and OPEC member states a chance to align on market expectations, explore new trade frameworks and identify areas for collaboration across production, refining and investment.

“As demand at home accelerates and global market dynamics evolve, the continent is stepping into a more self-directed and strategic role in the energy world. AEW 2025 will be a critical moment to chart that course, ensuring that Africa’s oil and gas resources are harnessed not only for global supply but for African prosperity,” says NJ Ayuk, Executive Chairman, African Energy Week.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Energy Chamber.

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From Megawatt (MW) to Gigawatt (GW): Why Africa Must Think in Grid-Scale Power to Compete in the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Economy

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African Energy Chamber

As AI infrastructure drives power demand into the gigawatt range, Africa must move beyond incremental energy planning – placing grid-scale generation at the center of discussions at African Energy Week 2026’s AI and Data Center Track

CAPE TOWN, South Africa, May 11, 2026/APO Group/ –The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence is fundamentally reshaping global energy demand, with implications that extend well beyond traditional power planning. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the growing energy footprint of data centers. Facilities that once required tens of megawatts are now being developed at 100–200 MW scale, with hyperscale campuses increasingly aggregating demand into the gigawatt range.

 

This shift presents a structural challenge for Africa. While the continent is rich in energy resources, its planning frameworks remain largely oriented around incremental, megawatt-scale additions – often tied to localized demand or short-term capacity gaps. In the context of AI-driven infrastructure, this approach is increasingly misaligned with the scale and concentration of future demand.

Africa’s data center sector, while growing, remains at an early stage. Operational capacity currently stands at approximately 300–400 MW, with projections reaching 1.5–2.2 GW by 2030. At the same time, demand is accelerating rapidly: electricity consumption from data centers is rising at 20–25% annually and is expected to reach around 8,000 GWh in the near term. This growth mirrors a broader global surge, with data center power demand projected to approach 945 TWh by 2030, driven largely by AI workloads.

This is ultimately about aligning Africa’s energy strategy with where global demand is heading

What distinguishes AI-related demand is not only its scale, but its concentration and consistency. Unlike many traditional industrial loads, data centers require uninterrupted, high-quality power, often with built-in redundancy. This places new demands on grid design, prioritizing stability, capacity and long-term scalability over incremental expansion.

Meeting these requirements will require a departure from conventional planning models. Rather than adding capacity in small increments, there is a growing case for developing gigawatt-scale generation aligned with emerging digital infrastructure hubs. This means integrating power generation, transmission and data center development into coordinated investment strategies, particularly in markets with strong resource bases and improving regulatory environments.

It also requires a shift in how excess capacity is viewed. In many African power systems, surplus generation has historically been treated as a financial inefficiency. In the context of AI and digital infrastructure, however, maintaining a margin of available capacity can enhance grid stability, reduce outages and provide the flexibility needed to support rapid load growth, while creating a foundation for broader industrial development.

A useful benchmark can be seen in Northern Virginia, the world’s largest data center market, where installed capacity has now exceeded 4 GW and more than 1 GW of new supply was added in a single year, reflecting the rapid pace at which hyperscale infrastructure is being deployed. Driven by major cloud and AI players, demand has tightened the market significantly, with vacancy rates approaching zero and most new capacity released well in advance. The scale and speed of development highlight how quickly data center demand is expanding – and underscore the level at which infrastructure must be planned.

These dynamics are increasingly shaping the policy conversation. At African Energy Week 2026, the AI and Data Center Track will focus on the infrastructure required to support this transition, with a particular emphasis on aligning energy planning with digital economy objectives. As AI infrastructure scales, reliable and abundant power is no longer a supporting factor, but a prerequisite.

“This is ultimately about aligning Africa’s energy strategy with where global demand is heading,” says NJ Ayuk, Executive Chairman of the African Energy Chamber. “If we continue to plan in megawatts, we will struggle to compete in an economy that is already moving at the gigawatt scale. Building larger, more resilient power systems is not just about meeting demand – it is about creating the conditions for investment, innovation and long-term growth.”

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Energy Chamber.

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Telecoming Strengthens Its Presence in Africa with the Launch of DCB Software South Africa

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The company advances its regional strategy with a model built on AI, monetisation and direct connectivity with local operators

JOHANNESBURG, South Africa, May 11, 2026/APO Group/ –Telecoming (www.Telecoming.com), a global technology company specialising in the monetisation of digital services, announces the launch of DCB Software South Africa (www.DCBSoftwareZA.com), its new local subsidiary. The move reinforces the company’s growth strategy in Africa, one of the most promising markets in the mobile economy.

The new entity will be led by Javier de Corral, who will lead business development, establish partnerships with telecom operators and build a local team based in Johannesburg.

The South African launch builds on Telecoming’s existing footprint in the continent, where it already operates through its Algerian subsidiary, DCB Software Dzayer, further strengthening its regional position.

We are very excited about the opportunities in South Africa and committed to investing in its digital future

DCB Software South Africa will operate as a local hub focused on AI-driven digital services, supported by a team entirely based in the country. Its scope includes the development of digital products, mobile and web services, as well as solutions in digital entertainment and marketplaces, all built on scalable, multi-device platforms designed to ensure a seamless user experience.

The subsidiary combines in-depth knowledge of the South African and Sub-Saharan markets with direct access to telecom operators, digital platforms and local payment solutions. It will deploy multiple monetisation models, including Direct Carrier Billing (DCB), to optimise conversion rates and overall performance.

The launch of DCB Software South Africa marks a key milestone in our global expansion strategy”, said Cyrille Thivat, CEO of Telecoming. “We are very excited about the opportunities in South Africa and committed to investing in its digital future. With Javier de Corral at the helm, we are confident that this new subsidiary will not only drive our local growth but also contribute to the broader digital and AI ecosystem.”

Telecoming develops technology designed to enhance user acquisition, streamline payment processes and improve the performance of digital services. Its platforms integrate monetisation, advertising and user experience, leveraging artificial intelligence to deliver secure, scalable and efficient solutions.

This expansion reinforces Telecoming’s commitment to delivering innovative digital and AI services and strengthens its position as a key player in the African market. With this launch, the company takes another step in its international expansion, enhancing its ability to support the development of Africa’s digital ecosystem through advanced technology, local expertise and strategic partnerships.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of Telecoming.

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Enlit Africa 2026 makes 20 May the Commercial and Industrial (C&I) delivery day across power, water and clean energy hubs

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Enlit Africa 2026

Taking place 19–21 May 2026 at the Cape Town International Convention Centre (CTICC), Enlit Africa, created by VUKA Group, convenes utilities, municipalities, large energy users, financiers, developers and technology providers to focus on what shifts outcomes in African infrastructure

CAPE TOWN, South Africa, May 11, 2026/APO Group/ –Enlit Africa 2026 will put commercial and industrial delivery front and center on Wednesday 20 May with a dedicated line-up across the Power HubWater Hub and Renewable Energy & Storage Hub. The day is built for decision-makers who must keep operations running, secure reliable supply, manage risk and move projects from concept to implementation.

 

Taking place 19–21 May 2026 at the Cape Town International Convention Centre (CTICC), Enlit Africa, created by VUKA Group, convenes utilities, municipalities, large energy users, financiers, developers and technology providers to focus on what shifts outcomes in African infrastructure.

On 20 May, the programme is anchored by the keynote, “How a coordinated energy/water plan could change African resilience” (09:30–11:45), positioning water and energy as interlinked operational risks that can no longer be managed in silos. From there, the day breaks into practical tracks tailored for large users and the solution partners that support them.

In the Renewable Energy & Storage Hub, sessions focus on the realities of C&I adoption and delivery at scale, including “Project implementation for multi-megawatt C&I projects” (11:45–13:00) and “Clean energy adoption in the C&I market” (14:30–15:45), before turning to fleet electrification and operations with “Mobility: Management of electric vehicle fleets for C&I” (16:00–17:30).

In the Water Hub, the agenda targets the technologies and operating models that matter most to industrial continuity and compliance. Sessions include “Next-generation water treatment technologies” (11:45–13:00), “Advanced water treatment & smart water systems” (14:30–15:45) and “Accelerating water technology deployment for C&I operations” (16:30–17:30).

Together, the three stages create a single day of high-signal, implementation-led content for C&I leaders, utilities, municipalities and suppliers focused on operational performance, investment readiness and delivery discipline.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of VUKA Group.

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