The event kicked off with technical presentations by industry experts from S&P Global Commodity Insights, focusing on commodity trading, downstream activities and crude oil trading in West Africa. With crude lifts from the Dangote refinery ramping up in 2025, Nigeria is set to become a net exporter of gasoline for the first time. Meanwhile, a wave of refinery rationalizations is on the global horizon, particularly in North America and Europe, with over 3 million barrels per day of refining capacity expected to shut down by 2030.

“In this context, Africa is becoming a very interesting market and a battleground for different regions targeting it as an export market,” said Tanya Stepanova, Associate Director, Commodity Insights at S&P Global, adding that several Middle Eastern NOCs are acquiring retail and refining assets – seeking to solidify or establish their presence on the continent.

The ramp-up of the Dangote refinery has reduced Nigeria’s reliance on European imports, while also supplying jet fuel to Saudi Aramco and naphtha to Asian markets and the Lomé hub off Togo’s coast, according to Matthew Tracey-Cook, Senior Price Reporter at S&P Global. Nigeria is also witnessing several other refinery developments, including the approval of a new 10,000-barrel-per-day refinery in Delta State, the resumption of operations at the Warri refinery, the planned restart of the Port Harcourt refinery and ongoing discussions to build a private refinery.

Turning to South Africa – sub-Saharan Africa’s largest and most mature market – product growth has been slower. With refineries closing, the country faces critical decisions about the future of its fuel supply, balancing trader dominance with potential Middle Eastern influence, as middle eastern NOCs are reportedly considering the acquisition of Shell South Africa’s downstream assets.

“In the long term, South Africa has ambitions to revive its refining industry. For South Africa, it’s not just a matter of refining economics — there is a strong agenda for security of supply,” said Stepanova. “The question becomes: will it become a trader-dominated market, or will we see Middle Eastern influence? This is one of the issues to watch in 2025.”

Regarding Africa’s LNG prospects, the continent faces a competitive landscape as new LNG supplies from the U.S. target European markets. Emerging markets like Mozambique could see ExxonMobil reach a Final Investment Decision (FID) on its Rovuma LNG project by 2026, while anticipated developments in TotalEnergies’ Mozambique LNG project reflect upwards of $10 billion in investments.

“For LNG, the demand is certainly there, but these projects need long-term commitments, particularly from offtakers, to happen. When we look at Mozambique, ExxonMobil just said that it’s a key part of their global portfolio and they are looking at FID in 2026,” said Verner Ayukegba, Senior Vice President, AEC, adding, “The only way to drive development in Africa is through trade and investment.”

Regarding financing upstream investments, the event highlighted a recent easing of banking sector constraints following the exit of many international banks from fossil fuel financing. However, new upstream exploration continues to attract primarily major players with substantial balance sheets, though traders are playing an increasingly significant role.

“When it comes to infill drilling, sometimes the traders come in and are able to finance off the back of an existing resource base. Traders have become bigger financial players, especially when you are looking to keep production at the same level. This is what we see likely to happen in the next two to four years,” said Ayukegba.

The investor breakfast serves as a precursor to the upcoming African Energy Week (AEW): Invest in African Energies conference, scheduled from September 29 to October 3 in Cape Town, South Africa. AEW 2025 aims to position Africa as a global energy champion, focusing on strategic investments and transformative deals to shape the continent’s energy future. Building on the success of previous editions, AEW continues to be the premier platform for deal-making, energy partnerships, and capital investment in Africa’s energy sector.

AEW: Invest in African Energy is the platform of choice for project operators, financiers, technology providers and government, and has emerged as the official place to sign deals in African energy. Visit www.AECWeek.com for more information about this exciting event.

SunCentral is a large-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) plant located between Hanover and De Aar in South Africa’s Northern Cape province. The project will be developed in three phases.

Phase 1, consisting of 342 MW, will be delivered through a staged roll-out of three 114 MW facilities and will deliver renewable energy to a diverse range of off-takers by wheeling it through South Africa’s power grid. Phase 2 and 3 will increase SunCentral’s capacity to 1 GW.

Unlike similarly sized projects that offer wheeling on a one-to-one basis (with one generation plant supplying one off-taker), SolarAfrica’s project will offer wheeling on a one-to-many basis, making it available to a wider pool of businesses in South Africa.

SolarAfrica’s Chief Investment Officer Charl Alheit, who spearheaded the financial close, explains: “Reaching financial close on the first 114 MW of our utility-scale wheeling development and Main Transmission Substation (MTS) investment marks a significant milestone in our commitment to advancing sustainable energy solutions for our customers in the commercial and industrial sectors.”

He adds that the substantial size of SunCentral will unlock access to cheaper, greener power for even more businesses across the country. “We are excited to see this project move forward as we continue contributing to the energy transition while delivering long-term value to our customers.”

SolarAfrica is part of the greater Starsight Energy Africa Group. The success of SunCentral will act as a blueprint for similar (and possibly smaller) off-site generation projects in other key African markets in which the Starsight Energy Africa Group companies operate.

“The construction of SolarAfrica’s SunCentral is a critical step in our journey to expand clean energy adoption across Sub-Saharan Africa, says Paul van Zijl, Group CEO of Starsight Energy Africa Group. “We are excited to move this project forward and continue delivering long-term value to our customers,” he says.

SolarAfrica is backed by world-class investors African Infrastructure Investment Managers (AIIM) and Helios Investment Partners who both hold decades-long track records of bringing investment to support African innovation.

“Reaching Financial Close on the first 114 MW on SunCentral is a fantastic milestone for SolarAfrica, says Thor Corry, Investment Director at AIIM.

“The modular approach to construct the MTS and plug in subsequent 114 MW modules provides a superb platform for SolarAfrica to scale at pace to meet the needs of the C&I customers in South Africa who want to secure price certainty and cost efficiencies while furthering South Africa’s Just Energy Transition. With South Africa requiring up to 30 GW of new capacity by 2030 to meet its climate commitments and energy needs, projects like this are crucial,” Corry concludes.

Taking place in Brazzaville from March 24-26, CEIF 2025 is set to showcase the Republic of Congo’s energy ambitions, including the country’s strategies to increase oil production to 500,000 barrels per day by 2027 and the introduction of its Gas Master Plan. With service companies like Accenture and NOV taking part in an in-depth roundtable session at CEIF 2025, the country is well-positioned to showcase an improved enabling environment that welcomes local and international companies.

The inaugural Congo Energy & Investment Forum, set for March 24-26, 2025, in Brazzaville, under the patronage of President Denis Sassou Nguesso and supported by the Ministry of Hydrocarbons and Société Nationale des Pétroles du Congo, will bring together international investors and local stakeholders to explore national and regional energy and infrastructure opportunities. The event will explore the latest gas-to-power projects and provide updates on ongoing expansions across the country.

Houston-based NOV is advancing Congo’s oil and gas capabilities through cutting-edge technologies and services that enhance operational efficiency and support sustainable energy development. The company is involved in several strategic initiatives across key African markets, including contributions to offshore exploration and production. NOV, which will be represented at CEIF 2025 by Vice President of Global Accounts Arthur Ename, is also deeply committed to local content and workforce development, focusing on translating its expertise to support the growth of industries throughout the continent while creating jobs, transferring knowledge and empowering communities.

Meanwhile, professional services and consulting company Accenture boasts wide industry experience in oil and gas, utilities, chemicals and processing, rail transportation and technology and covers clients operating in upstream, midstream, downstream and oilfield services. As such, Accenture Executive and Associate Director Nosayaba Evboumwan will part in the CEMAC Energy Dialogue in-depth roundtable session at this year’s CEIF 2025.

“The participation of NOV and Accenture at CEIF 2025 highlights the vital role service companies play in enhancing Congo’s oil and gas sector. Their expertise in technology, innovation and workforce development is crucial to driving sustainable growth and industry transformation,” states Energy Capital & Power Events and Project Director Sandra Jeque.