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From Discoveries to Development: Strategic Growth in Africa’s Oil and Gas Basins (By Elizaveta Evseeva)

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Africa

By focusing on solid infrastructure, enhancing local skills, and developing several production sites instead of just large projects, this new exploration wave could finally tap into Africa’s long-awaited energy potential

SANDTON, South Africa, September 24, 2025/APO Group/ —By Elizaveta Evseeva, International Fellow, African Energy Chamber (https://EnergyChamber.org). 

Africa’s hydrocarbon frontier is at an inflection point. Large areas remain underexplored, but recent breakthroughs point to deliberate, strategic growth. The situation in these basins — a series of high-impact deepwater discoveries in Southern and West Africa alongside renewed onshore interest in Angola — challenges the old logic that Africa’s success depends only on mega-projects. These developments underscore how geology, export infrastructure and domestic politics must be considered together when judging a basin’s commercial prospects.

The Southern African Renaissance

According to the African Energy Chamber’s State of African Energy 2026 Outlook, Namibia’s Orange Basin has emerged as the epicenter of African exploration. TotalEnergies’ Venus discovery offshore Namibia is more than a deepwater find: it is a breakthrough that reshapes industry perceptions of Southern Africa’s potential. The development centers on a 160,000-barrel-per-day FPSO tied to roughly 40 subsea wells. Venus is moving into development planning, with a final investment decision expected in 2026 and first oil targeted between 2029–2030. TotalEnergies also plans to drill the Olympe-1X prospect in Block 2912. This marks a daring westward venture into unknown areas as it is the furthest west any well has been drilled in the Orange Basin. If successful, this four-way closure in Lower Cretaceous formations could unlock new play concepts.

South Africa’s participation in this renaissance cannot be overlooked. The basin’s eastern extension signals growing confidence. Examples include Rhino Resources (Volans-1X) and Eco Atlantic (Block 1). Shell is planning a five-well campaign in South Africa, close to its discoveries in Namibia. This highlights the basin’s cross-border potential. However, commercial constraints — strict fiscal terms, monetization challenges, geological complexity — and legal headwinds such as the ongoing judicial challenges to seismic/exploration approvals for the Wild Coast and related licences remain a drag on timelines.

Angola presents a fascinating duality in frontier exploration. The ultra-deepwater is still a Tier-A chance, especially with Azule Energy’s (Eni-BP joint venture) Quitexe-1 well in Block 47. However, the real surprise might come from onshore. The Kwanza Basin, inactive for four decades, could see its first pre-salt exploration well since the 1980s. Corcel’s planned 2026 drilling of the Sirius structure, potentially holding one billion barrels in place, represents a contrarian bet that could unlock an entirely new petroleum province. The deals are subject to final approvals. Of particular significance are the institutional, regulatory and contractual reforms the Angolan government is currently implementing. Our recent State of African Energy 2026 Outlook examines these reforms in depth.

West African Resurgence

Geology, export infrastructure and domestic politics must be considered together when judging a basin’s commercial prospects

Côte d’Ivoire has positioned itself as a compelling exploration destination. Murphy Oil’s Civette-1 well will be drilled by the Deepwater Skyros in the fourth quarter of this year. This well could reveal new play concepts in an area proven by Eni’s Baleine field. The prospect portfolio includes Caracal, which has a potential of 150-360 million barrels, and Kobus, with up to 1.26 billion barrels. These figures demonstrate the materiality of remaining opportunities.

The Gulf of Guinea’s broader renaissance extends to often-overlooked jurisdictions. São Tomé and Príncipe, Africa’s second-smallest nation by land area, exemplifies this trend. Shell’s Falcao-1 wildcat in Block 10 is set for late September 2025. It builds on Galp Energias’ 2022 Jaca-1 discovery with a proven working petroleum system. The updated view of the subsurface geology now resembles already producing countries like Gabon and Equatorial Guinea. As a result, there’s a surge of drilling plans for 2026-2027.

The ultra-deepwater journey in West Africa remains nascent, with few wells venturing deeper than 3,000 meters in this region. As such, the region stands as one of the last true frontiers for offshore exploration.

Reframing Risk and Reward

Recent African exploration reveals a surprising truth: “failures” can be valuable. Non-commercial wells that encounter source rocks or show petroleum systems may seem disappointing, but they help refine basin models and cut future exploration costs. Even a few technical successes, even if not commercially viable, can significantly lower expected finding costs for a basin. Portfolios that quickly adapt to negative information and change their exploration strategies tend to do better than those stuck with old geological models.

Investors often favor mega-fields, especially in high-risk areas in Africa. However, smaller, quicker oil projects have strong benefits. These projects can act as a public-policy force multiplier and provide clear cash flows that are able to change government incentives. Examples include Senegal’s Sangomar field, which accelerated licensing through early revenues, and Angola’s smaller post-2018 tiebacks, which sustained local services and prompted regulatory reforms.

Multiple modest FPSO developments build political goodwill. This reduces future political risk better than one large project. Early cash flows have the potential to change the political landscape by speeding up licensing rounds and supporting local projects. Companies such as Rhino Resources use a ‘first-to-first-oil’ approach — prioritising early, smaller-scale production to build presence and negotiating leverage. It sees early production as not just revenue, but as a key investment for better future access and terms. Smaller projects also tackle Africa’s human capital challenges better than large megaprojects do. They spread employment across regions without overwhelming local capacity. This enables gradual skills transfer and avoidance of the boom-bust cycles that have plagued resource economies elsewhere.

Turning Discoveries into Development

Africa’s next exploration wave defies simple characterization. It’s not just a boom or a careful exploration. It’s a smart, multi-faceted push into the world’s last frontier basins. The view of Africa as only a high-risk, quick-reward region is evolving. Now, patient investment, strong infrastructure and careful planning are as crucial as geological skills. Companies that treat ultra-deepwater wells as chances to build networks, prefer quick adjustments over strict plans and see the value in early production could gain more. By focusing on solid infrastructure, enhancing local skills, and developing several production sites instead of just large projects, this new exploration wave could finally tap into Africa’s long-awaited energy potential.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Energy Chamber.

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Hainan FTP marks 6-month milestone of special customs operations, signs deals during Hong Kong visit

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Hong Kong

HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 29 June 2026 – As the Hainan Free Trade Port (FTP) marked the six-month milestone since the launch of its full special customs operations, a Hainan provincial delegation wrapped up a three-day visit to Hong Kong. During the visit, the delegation signed deepened cooperation agreements with several major local chambers of commerce and promoted the latest policies introduced since the island-wide special customs operations took effect.

According to data released by Hainan Province during the visit, Hainan’s foreign trade has surged since the launch of special customs operations. As of June 17, the province’s total goods imports and exports reached RMB 173.98 billion (approximately US$24 billion), up 54.6% year on year. Imports of zero-tariff goods hit RMB 2.645 billion, a 120% jump that generated tariff savings of RMB 440 million. A total of 172,100 new market entities were registered—a 61% increase—including 1,240 foreign-invested enterprises. Zero-tariff items now account for 74% of all tariff lines, benefiting more than 12,000 market entities.

During the Hong Kong visit, China Council for the Promotion of International Trade Hainan Provincial Committee (CCPIT Hainan) signed separate deepened cooperation MOUs with the Chinese General Chamber of Commerce, Hong Kong and the Hong Kong General Chamber of Commerce. Under the MOUs, the parties will establish a regular liaison mechanism for the periodic exchange of economic and trade information, and will promote collaboration in areas including professional services, green finance, the digital economy, supply chain management, and cultural tourism. Mutual enterprise service desks will be set up to provide consulting services regarding policies and projects. The parties will leverage their complementary strengths to help Chinese mainland enterprises access overseas markets via Hong Kong, while facilitating Hong Kong companies’ entry into the Chinese mainland through Hainan.

The delegation also held talks with the British Chamber of Commerce in Hong Kong and the American Chamber of Commerce in Hong Kong, exploring ways for British and American businesses to leverage Hainan’s value-added processing tariff exemptions and multifunctional free trade accounts to position themselves in regional supply chains and cross-border investment and financing. HSBC, De Beers, and other British firms are already active in Hainan, and the UK served as the Guest of Honor country at the 2025 China International Consumer Products Expo.

According to industry analysts, amid the shifting international trade landscape, Hainan is leveraging Hong Kong’s “super-connector” role to accelerate its integration with global capital and business networks, while simultaneously offering the Hong Kong business community a policy testing ground for entering the Chinese mainland market.

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Africa’s Grid Constraints Come into Focus as Regional Markets Push Toward Integration

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Regional power pools are advancing and renewable pipelines are growing, but the regulatory and financial architecture needed to connect them remains the continent’s most critical infrastructure gap – an issue central to the Power Africa Today conference at AEW 2026

CAPE TOWN, South Africa, June 25, 2026/APO Group/ –Africa’s electricity demand is projected to nearly double to 2,291 TWh by 2050, requiring an estimated $30 billion in transmission and grid infrastructure investment to unlock and integrate new generation capacity. Yet across the continent, grid systems are struggling to keep pace with rapidly expanding supply pipelines and rising demand.

In Nigeria, repeated nationwide grid collapses as recently as February 2026 underscore the fragility of aging transmission infrastructure. In East Africa, tower failures along the 428 km Loiyangalani-Suswa line temporarily stranded output from Lake Turkana Wind Power – Africa’s largest wind installation. Meanwhile, demand growth pressures are accelerating across North Africa, where electricity consumption is expected to rise by around 50% by 2035, driven by urbanization, desalination projects, and climate-related temperature increases.

Despite these constraints, generation investment continues to accelerate across Africa, particularly in renewables, gas-to-power and hybrid systems. However, without equivalent investment in transmission and interconnection, much of this new capacity risks being underutilized or stranded. This growing imbalance between generation and grid capacity is driving a sharper focus on system-wide planning and regional market design – issues that will be central to the newly launched Power Africa Today conference at African Energy Week 2026. The platform will bring together policymakers, utilities, investors and developers to explore how regional interconnection, cross-border trading frameworks and financing structures can better align generation growth with grid expansion.

Power Markets Experiment with Reform

Alongside infrastructure challenges, Africa’s electricity sector is undergoing gradual – but uneven – market reform. Most countries still operate vertically integrated systems dominated by state utilities, but a growing number are introducing competitive frameworks to attract private capital and improve efficiency.

Zimbabwe opened its electricity market to full private participation across generation, transmission and distribution in 2025, targeting $9 billion in new investment. South Africa is advancing one of the continent’s most ambitious grid expansion programs, with plans for 14,500 km of new transmission lines and 133,000 MVA of transformer capacity by 2034, alongside mechanisms designed to crowd in private financing. Kenya, meanwhile, has introduced open access regulations enabling independent power producers to wheel electricity directly to multiple off-takers, reshaping how generation assets interface with the grid.

Interconnected electricity markets are the foundation of Africa’s industrial future

Regional Integration Remains Fragmented

Efforts to connect Africa’s fragmented power systems are progressing, though at different speeds across regions. In Southern Africa, the World Bank’s RETRADE SAPP program, approved in 2025, is deploying $12 million to strengthen renewable integration and transmission capacity across 12 member states. In East Africa, the Ethiopia–Kenya–Tanzania Electricity Highway is now in trial operations at up to 2,000 MW, marking a significant step toward a more interconnected regional grid.

West Africa is also moving toward deeper integration, with permanent synchronization of the West Africa Power Pool expected in 2026. Analysts, including the African Finance Corporation, argue that such synchronization is critical to unlocking large-scale hydropower potential and industrial demand across the region. Longer term, full synchronization between the Eastern and Southern African power pools – targeted for the end of 2026 – could create one of the world’s largest cross-border electricity trading corridors.

Building Bankable Financial Architectures

While interconnection is advancing, infrastructure alone is not enough to create investable electricity markets. Investors consistently cite the lack of standardized offtake structures, creditworthy counterparties, and cross-border payment guarantees as key barriers to scaling capital deployment.

New models are emerging to address these constraints. Africa GreenCo, operating across Zambia, Namibia and South Africa, is helping to aggregate independent power producers under a single creditworthy intermediary, standardizing power purchase agreements and reducing counterparty risk. At a broader level, AUDA-NEPAD estimates that Africa requires around $30 billion in additional investment to complete priority transmission corridors and establish three fully interconnected regional trading blocs by 2030.

“Interconnected electricity markets are the foundation of Africa’s industrial future,” said NJ Ayuk, Executive Chairman of the African Energy Chamber. “The question at Africa Energy Week is not whether integration is possible – the evidence is already there. The question is which regulatory frameworks and financial structures will get projects to financial close, and which markets will be ready when capital is looking to move.”

The Power Africa Today conference will run alongside AEW 2026, taking place October 12–16 in Cape Town, and will focus on the regulatory, financial and infrastructural architecture needed to build interconnected electricity markets capable of attracting institutional capital and delivering reliable, cross-border power at scale.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Energy Chamber.

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African Development Bank Group and La Francophonie Sign Partnership Agreement to Promote Youth Employment in Francophone Africa

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The agreement was signed during a meeting between the Secretary General of La Francophonie, Louise Mushikiwabo, and African Development Bank Group President, Dr Sidi Ould Tah in Paris, France

PARIS, France, June 25, 2026/APO Group/ –The African Development Bank Group (www.AfDB.org) and The International Organization of La Francophonie (OIF) on Wednesday entered a strategic partnership to strengthen digital skills, employability, and entrepreneurship of young people and women in five African countries: Benin, Cameroon, Guinea, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Madagascar.

 

The agreement was signed during a meeting between the Secretary General of La Francophonie, Louise Mushikiwabo, and African Development Bank Group President, Dr Sidi Ould Tah in Paris, France. The agreement will address a major challenge faced by countries in the Francophone world and across Africa: providing young people with access to opportunities offered by the digital economy and fostering the emergence of a new generation of entrepreneurs.

The partnership calls for the implementation of training programs in digital professions and entrepreneurship, in fields such as web and mobile development, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, and data analysis. Participants will also receive guidance toward employment and self-employment, as well as support for innovation and business creation, notably through training camps, prototyping activities, and partnerships with incubators and accelerators.

The African Development Bank Group and OIF will also work with national authorities in these five countries and training institutions to sustainably strengthen local capacities and promote ownership of the programs by national stakeholders. An initial pilot phase, lasting 12 to 24 months, will be rolled out in the five partner countries, followed by a gradual expansion to other member states depending on the results achieved.

The African Development Bank Group is pursuing a bold agenda based on “Four Cardinal Points” developed by Dr Ould Tah, the third of which is ‘Turning Demographics into a Dividend.’ This is about strategically converting Africa’s rapidly growing and youthful population into a decisive engine of inclusive growth, productivity, and innovation through large-scale investment in human capital—particularly youth and women.

 

It sees Africa’s growing young population not as a risk, but as a major asset. With the right policies and investments, this potential can create jobs, help small businesses grow, bring more informal businesses into the formal economy, and equip young people with the skills needed for the future. By investing more in education, science and technology, vocational training, entrepreneurship, finance, and digital tools, Africa can help its people drive economic transformation, stay competitive, and build lasting, resilient growth.

The OIF said the agreement marked the first concrete step in its initiative to mobilize innovative and additional funding for its most impactful projects.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Development Bank Group (AfDB).

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