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Control Risks and Oxford Economics Africa launch the 2024 Africa Risk-Reward Index: Opportunity through transformation

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The report is released at a time when Africa is experiencing a significant generational shift in politics, increased continental connectivity, and the rapid emergence of transformative technologies

LONDON, United Kingdom, September 25, 2024/APO Group/ — 

Leading global specialist risk consultancy, Control Risks (www.ControlRisks.com), and its economics consulting partner, Oxford Economics Africa (www.OxfordEconomics.com), today announced the launch of the ninth edition of the Africa Risk-Reward Index. This authoritative report is designed to provide policymakers, business leaders, and investors with a comprehensive guide to navigating the evolving investment landscape across key African markets.

Download document: https://apo-opa.co/3zu16yU

The report is released at a time when Africa is experiencing a significant generational shift in politics, increased continental connectivity, and the rapid emergence of transformative technologies that could potentially propel its progress. This pivotal moment presents both opportunities and challenges for businesses operating in African markets, but also risks exacerbating fragilities in some African countries.

Africa’s outlook is promising. But understanding the nuanced market dynamics and adopting a long-term perspective will be essential for stakeholders — from policymakers and investors to development agencies and civil society — as they navigate the evolving landscape to successful investment outcomes in 2024 and beyond. For African countries and investors looking to invest or grow their business in Africa, the time is now.

In the ninth Africa Risk-Reward Index, Control Risks and Oxford Economics Africa compare some of the continent’s largest and emerging markets, offering investors a comparative snapshot of market opportunities and risks across Africa in the year ahead.  

The report examines three key themes outlined below, summarising Control Risks’ and Oxford Economics Africa’s views on Africa’s trajectory in the year ahead.

Bridging the generational divide – a new era for African politics

The report’s first theme focuses on how African political leaders are increasingly mindful of their young, growing populations. Recent events have shown that young people are becoming more frustrated with governance, impatient with development, and disillusioned with political establishments. This discontent has manifested in some surprising election results, youth-led protests, and some policy shifts.

Patricia Rodrigues, Associate Director at Control Risks, said, “The 2024 Africa Risk-Reward Index provides crucial insights into the dynamic changes shaping investment opportunities across the continent. As Africa faces a period of significant political and economic shifts, our report highlights both the potential rewards and the risks that investors must consider. This year’s edition emphasizes the importance of understanding the complex interplay between emerging technologies, infrastructure developments and geopolitical influences to make informed and strategic investment decisions.”

In South Africa, the ruling party lost its parliamentary majority in the May 2024 elections. In Senegal, the opposition candidate achieved a resounding victory, further illustrating the changing political dynamics in the region. In Kenya, young people organised nationwide protests that led the president to dismiss the entire cabinet.

Businesses must now operate in a less predictable security and policy environment, as governments strive to balance investment attraction with rising societal demands.

As Africa faces a period of significant political and economic shifts, our report highlights both the potential rewards and the risks that investors must consider

White elephants and lifelines – the megaprojects reshaping the continent

Over the past decade, Africa has witnessed a significant surge in infrastructure investment, with large-scale energy, port, and rail projects taking centre stage. These megaprojects are often seen as catalysts for transformative economic growth, addressing long-standing deficiencies in trade corridors and enhancing connectivity across the continent.

However, these ambitious projects are not without their challenges. Questions about these ventures’ true cost, long-term utility, and the transparency of the deals underpinning them have sparked heated debates across the continent. Many of these megaprojects have been financed through government-to-government agreements, often accompanied by concerns over opaque terms, lack of local involvement, and the potential for unsustainable debt burdens.

Geopolitical dynamics also play a significant role in shaping Africa’s infrastructure landscape. While China has historically dominated infrastructure investment on the continent, other global powers are increasingly vying for influence. The US, Gulf countries, and other geopolitical actors are stepping up their efforts to fund and develop critical infrastructure projects in Africa, driven by competition for access to natural resources and strategic positioning in the global economy.

This has resulted in a more complex and competitive environment, where African governments and businesses alike have to carefully navigate competing interests and align their infrastructure needs with their long-term goals.

Emerging technologies – supercharging economic development

The advent of artificial intelligence (AI) is poised to unlock new opportunities for innovation across Africa. AI applications in agriculture, climate adaptation, healthcare, and education offer the potential to accelerate economic growth. However, African governments risk lagging their global counterparts in regulating these technologies. Countries like Morocco, Rwanda, and South Africa are taking proactive steps, but others may adopt a more cautious approach, leading to a fragmented regulatory landscape.

Jacques Nel, Head of Africa Macro at Oxford Economics Africa, added, “The 2024 Risk-Reward Index reveals a continent in flux, where significant shifts in political landscapes and economic conditions are reshaping the investment environment. This year’s report highlights the dual nature of Africa’s growth prospects – offering substantial opportunities while also presenting considerable risks. Our insights aim to equip stakeholders with the knowledge needed to make strategic decisions and utilize all the continent has to offer for sustainable growth.”

Investment Landscape Outlook

The 2024 Africa Risk-Reward Index continues to provide a grounded, long-term perspective on investment opportunities and challenges across major African economies. The report examines the shifting economic and political dynamics that are reshaping the continent’s risk-reward profile and offers actionable insights for stakeholders seeking to make informed decisions in this complex environment. African countries are at the intersection of global competition for resources, new trade corridors, and digital innovations. This index serves as a valuable tool for those looking to navigate the continent’s diverse markets and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Methodology 

The Africa Risk-Reward Index is defined by the combination of risk and reward scores that integrate economic and political risk analysis by Control Risks and Oxford Economics Africa.  Risk scores from each country originate from the Economic and Political Risk Evaluator (EPRE), while the reward scores incorporate medium-term economic growth forecasts, economic size, economic structure, and demographics.  

For details on the individual risk and reward definitions, please contact us at:

communicationsEMEA@controlrisks.com or africa@oxfordeconomics.com 

To request a copy of the report please contact: tracy.walakira@apo-opa.com 

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of Control Risks Group Holdings Ltd.

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West African Development Bank (BOAD) and PROPARCO Launch a Landmark €200 Million Cross-Financing Operation to Boost the Private Sector in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) Region

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This structure directly addresses current challenges related to reforming the global financial architecture by introducing an innovative and catalytic financial instrument

Together with BOAD, we are reaching a major milestone in our commitment to boosting financing for African economies, particularly within the WAEMU region

NAIROBI, Kenya, May 14, 2026/APO Group/ –On the sidelines of the Africa Forward summit, the West African Development Bank (BOAD) (www.BOAD.org) and PROPARCO, a subsidiary of the AFD Group, announced the signing of an unprecedented €200 million financing agreement (equivalent to approximately CFAF 131 billion). Structured by Galite as a cross-currency transaction between the euro (EUR) and the CFA franc (XOF), this operation is a global first in both its nature and ambition.

 

This structure directly addresses current challenges related to reforming the global financial architecture by introducing an innovative and catalytic financial instrument. It enables:

More efficient allocation of resources through expanded access to the XOF market, helping diversify financing options for local businesses;

Greater stability through support for the WAEMU region’s foreign exchange reserves, ensuring stronger macroeconomic resilience;

Direct impact through the financing of transformative private-sector projects, a key driver of job creation in the region.

Françoise Lombard, Chief Executive Officer of PROPARCO, stated:

“Together with BOAD, we are reaching a major milestone in our commitment to boosting financing for African economies, particularly within the WAEMU region. This initiative is fully aligned with the momentum to reform the development finance architecture by providing a tangible solution to increase the mobilization of local-currency resources in support of the private sector and local economies.

I am delighted by this partnership, which embodies a truly win-win approach and reflects our shared determination to act with ambition and pragmatism to sustainably support the development of the private sector across WAEMU economies, particularly our clients in the region, to whom we will be able to offer more loans denominated in CFA francs.”

Serge Ekué, President of BOAD, stated:

“The partnership between BOAD and PROPARCO reflects the quality and depth of our strategic cooperation.

Through this initiative, BOAD is reaffirming its role as a mobilizer of resources by attracting additional investment for the benefit of the region. Expanding the range of available financing tools is essential to sustainably support the transformation of WAEMU economies.

This transaction marks an important milestone in our collective ability to channel greater financing toward projects delivering strong economic and social impact across Africa.”

 

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of Banque Ouest Africaine de Développement (BOAD).

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Governor of the Central Bank of Egypt and President of Afreximbank Hold a Press Briefing on Egypt’s Ongoing Preparations to Host the 33rd Afreximbank Annual Meetings in Alamein

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The briefing underscored the strong strategic partnership between Egypt and Afreximbank, while highlighting the Bank’s support for key sectors, including financial services, trade, industrial infrastructure, manufacturing, oil and gas, telecommunications, power, and construction

H.E. Mr. Hassan Abdalla, Governor of the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE), and Dr George Elombi, President and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Afreximbank (www.Afreximbank.com), held a joint press briefing at the CBE’s headquarters on 13 May 2026 to address preparations for 33rd Afreximbank Annual Meetings (AAM2026). The AAM2026 will be held under the patronage of H.E. President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, President of the Arab Republic of Egypt, in Alamein city from 21 to 24 June 2026.

Attended by over 100 local and international media representatives, both in person and virtually, the briefing provided updates on preparations for AAM2026, expected participation, and Egypt’s role as host country for one of Africa’s leading annual gatherings focused on advancing the continent’s economic transformation.

 

In his remarks, H.E. Mr. Hassan Abdalla, Governor of the Central Bank of Egypt, reaffirmed Egypt’s commitment to the successful hosting of the AAM2026 and emphasised the country’s readiness to host the event as well as its long-standing partnership with Afreximbank to support Africa’s economic development, trade and investment.

 

Mr Abdalla said: “Egypt is honoured to host the 33rd Afreximbank Annual Meetings in Alamein, reflecting our continued commitment to supporting Africa’s economic integration, trade expansion, and sustainable development.”

He also noted that these Meetings represent a high-level platform for dialogue and the exchange of views on the future of African economic and financial cooperation.

He added: “The Meetings extend beyond conventional discussions to advance key continental priorities, including trade finance, regional integration, and the pressing need to reform the global financial architecture to better reflect the development needs of emerging economies.

Dr. George Elombi, President and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Afreximbank, expressed his appreciation to H.E. Mr. Hassan Abdalla for his strong support and commitment to hosting AAM2026 in Alamein and for the efforts by all relevant institutions in coordinating these meetings in Egypt.

 

“Egypt and Afreximbank share a common vision to accelerate Africa’s economic development, industrialisation, and widespread economic prosperity across the continent.

 

“AAM2026 will provide a valuable opportunity to strengthen partnerships, unlock investment opportunities, and advance discussions on intra-African trade, Africa’s financial sovereignty, and its economic resilience in an increasingly complex global environment”.

Egypt and Afreximbank share a common vision to accelerate Africa’s economic development, industrialisation, and widespread economic prosperity across the continent

 

Dr Elombi added that “Through our Annual Meetings, Afreximbank aims to identify priority projects and actionable programmes that will accelerate the transformation of Africa’s trade infrastructure. Africa’s pace of growth will be driven by industrialisation and intra-African trade, and achieving this will require significant improvements in processing, logistics, and importantly, policy support from governments.”

 

The briefing underscored the strong strategic partnership between Egypt and Afreximbank, while highlighting the Bank’s support for key sectors, including financial services, trade, industrial infrastructure, manufacturing, oil and gas, telecommunications, power, and construction.

 

Additionally, the press briefing outlined the significant opportunities associated with Egypt hosting AAM2026, including enhancing the country’s position as a regional financial and business hub, supporting the Meetings, Incentives, Conferences and Exhibitions (MICE) sector, creating new opportunities for Egyptian businesses, investors and the broader private sector, as well as providing a major boost to tourism in Alamein.

 

Dr Elombi said that the Bank has provided approximately US$9.5 billion in financing to Egypt over the past three years. He also referenced the groundbreaking of the Afreximbank African Trade Centre (AATC) in New Administrative Capital in December 2025, noting that the landmark US$250 million development will strengthen Egypt’s role as a regional hub for trade facilitation, payments, logistics, and SME development.

 

Dr Elombi further outlined plans for the proposed pan-African Gold Bank, an initiative designed to formalise Africa’s gold value chains, strengthen central bank reserves, and reduce the continent’s dependence on offshore refining and external trading centres.

 

Over the years, Afreximbank’s Annual Meetings have become one of the leading platforms for shaping dialogue on Africa’s economic future and advancing intra-Africa trade. The 33rd Afreximbank Annual Meetings are expected to bring together Heads of State, government ministers, central bank governors, business leaders, academics, entrepreneurs, private sector investors, and development partners. They will deliberate on the key issues shaping Africa’s economic future and trade agenda, while advancing practical solutions for the continent.

 

The AAM2026 programme will offer policy discussions, plenary sessions, business and investment forums, deal-signing ceremonies, major announcements, networking events, bilateral meetings, and forums on intra-African trade and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). It will also feature presentations on trade finance, industrialisation, energy, infrastructure, and digital transformation.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of Afreximbank.

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DHL Express Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) celebrates its 53rd Transported Asset Protection Association’s (TAPA) Facility Security Requirements (FSR) certification

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DHL Express SSA is the most TAPA certified company in the Region and was the first company in the TAPA EMEA Region to attain multi-site certification for a Region

LAGOS, Nigeria, May 14, 2026/APO Group/ —
  • Increases TAPA certifications across the Region, total of 53 sites across Sub-Saharan Africa
  • DHL Express the most TAPA-certified company in SSA
  • Lekki contributes to DHL Express surpassing the 500 facility milestone in TAPA certifications worldwide
  • Part of global €250 million investment in world-class security infrastructure by DHL Express

 

DHL Express (www.DHL.com) has announced that its Service Center in Lekki (Nigeria) has officially been certified according to the Transported Asset Protection Association’s (TAPA) Facility Security Requirements (FSR). This certification contributes to the over 500 TAPA certified sites globally and increase the certifications across Sub-Saharan Africa to 53 sites across 19 countries as part of a multi-site certification.

 

As the world’s most TAPA-certified logistics provider, DHL Express continues to set the benchmark for world-class supply chain security. The certification of 53 facilities in SSA strengthens a network that has already exceeded 500 TAPA-certified facilities globally, supported by a worldwide EUR250 million investment in advanced, industry-leading security technologies and processes. DHL Express SSA is the most TAPA certified company in the Region and was the first company in the TAPA EMEA Region to attain multi-site certification for a Region.

 

Anthony Beckley, VP Network Operations and Aviation at DHL Express SSA said: “Security is a cornerstone of DHL’s operations and a critical enabler of trade across Sub‑Saharan Africa. By continuously strengthening security standards at our facilities across the region, we help protect our customers’ shipments while building confidence in the supply chains that connect Africa to the world. As African businesses expand their reach into global markets, they rely on trusted, resilient, and world‑class logistics partners. We are proud to support this growth through industry‑leading security practices, underscored by our achievement of 500 TAPA certifications worldwide.”

Security is a cornerstone of DHL’s operations and a critical enabler of trade across Sub‑Saharan Africa

 

TAPA (Transported Asset Protection Association) certification is a comprehensive process of membership, verification, and auditing designed to ensure the security of customer shipments throughout the supply chain. It is based on rigorous standards such as FSR (Facility Security Requirements) and TSR (Transport Security Requirements), which can be achieved through independent audits or, for Level 3 (basic), via self-certification by a registered Authorised Auditor (AA), followed by submission of documentation to TAPA for validation and issuance of a certificate typically valid for three years. The Security Requirements established by the Association are recognised worldwide as industry benchmarks, making TAPA certification an essential mark of excellence for customers seeking the highest levels of reliability and protection.

 

This achievement not only affirms DHL Express as the global leader in secure logistics but also highlights Nigeria’s strategic contribution to the company’s security excellence in SSA.

 

Adrian Whelan, SVP and Head of Global Security at DHL Express, commented: “The TAPA certification of Lekki and the 53 sites TAPA certified across the SSA Region highlights DHL Express’ commitment to providing our customers in Africa with world-class security infrastructure. Customers want to ship their valuable goods through a secure and resilient supply chain, and DHL Express provides the most secure and resilient supply chain, not only in SSA but globally”.

 

The TAPA FSR certification is a central element of the broader security strategy of DHL Express. As global supply chains become increasingly complex, certified operations ensure consistent protection, risk mitigation, and resilience across the entire DHL network.

 

The achievement of the TAPA FSR certification was formally celebrated on May 13 during an event hosted at the DHL Express Lekki facility in Lagos, Nigeria. The event brought together private and public sector partners who share the aim of building resilient, transparent, and high-standard logistics ecosystems across SSA.

Distributed by APO Group on behalf of DHL Express.

 

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